Prognostic Value of Non-Traditional Lipid Indices for In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndromes

Abstract

Background and Objectives: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a life-threatening cardiovascular condition with high mortality rates, necessitating accurate and early risk assessment to optimize patient outcomes. While traditional lipid markers, such as low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) and high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), are widely used, non-traditional lipid indices, including the lipoprotein combined index (LCI), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), atherogenic index (AI), Castelli risk indices (CRI-I, CRI-II), and atherogenic combined index (ACI) may offer additional prognostic insights by reflecting the underlying atherogenic and inflammatory processes. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of these non-traditional lipid indices, along with traditional lipid and biochemical markers, for in-hospital mortality in ACS patients. Materials and Methods: This retrospective observational study analyzed data from ACS patients admitted to the coronary care unit (CCU) between January 2019 and September 2024. A cohort of 920 patients was divided into survivor (n = 823, 89.46%) and non-survivor (n = 97, 10.54%) groups based on in-hospital mortality outcomes. Demographic, hematological, biochemical, and lipid profile data, including traditional and non-traditional lipid indices, were collected. Separate logistic regression models were developed for each index, adjusting for demographic and clinical variables in order to assess the independent predictive power of each non-traditional lipid index. Results: Significant differences were observed between survivor and non-survivor groups in terms of age, c-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin (HGB), and creatinine levels (all p-values < 0.05). While traditional lipid markers, such as LDL-C and HDL-C, showed limited predictive value, non-traditional lipid indices demonstrated stronger associations. The highest Exp (Beta) values were observed for the CRI-II, AI, and CRI-I. An ROC analysis further confirmed that the CRI-II, AI, and CRI-I had the highest AUC values, with pairwise comparisons underscoring the CRI-II's superior accuracy. These findings suggest that non-traditional lipid indices predict atherogenic risk better than traditional markers alone. Conclusions: Non-traditional lipid indices, particularly the CRI-I and II, AI, LCI, ACI, and AIP, were found to be significantly associated with in-hospital mortality in ACS patients. These indices may provide additional prognostic value beyond traditional lipid parameters; however, further prospective studies are needed to confirm their clinical utility. These results underscore the importance of integrating non-traditional lipid indices into routine risk assessments to improve mortality predictions and inform targeted interventions in high-risk ACS patients.